Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.0%
Gorleston
21.5%
Draw
17.5%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Gorleston
vs
0.88
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).