Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Mantova
31.4%
Draw
37.4%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Mantova
vs
1.18
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).