Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Lens
21.5%
Draw
17.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Lens
vs
0.86
Lille
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).