Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Estrela
28.8%
Draw
29.1%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Estrela
vs
1.10
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).