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05 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.3%
Chornomorets
24.3%
Draw
66.4%
LNZ Cherkasy

Expected Goals (xG)

0.43

Chornomorets

vs
1.61

LNZ Cherkasy

Markets

BTTS28.4%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
20.6%
0-2
16.8%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
9.3%
0-3
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
2.0%
2-2
1.6%
1-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).