Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Burgos
36.3%
Draw
28.0%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Burgos
vs
0.69
Eibar
Markets
BTTS27.7%
Over 0.578.0%
Over 1.544.3%
Over 2.519.3%
Over 3.56.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.0%
1-0
18.3%
0-1
15.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
7.5%
0-2
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
2.0%
2-2
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).