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AHT: 12CSV

04 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.0%
Edinburgh City
19.9%
Draw
61.1%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Edinburgh City

vs
2.38

Montrose

Markets

BTTS66.2%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
2-3
4.8%
1-4
4.4%
0-4
3.4%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).