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11 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.7%
Celtic
13.4%
Draw
5.9%
St Mirren

Expected Goals (xG)

2.69

Celtic

vs
0.62

St Mirren

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.2%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).