Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.7%
Needham Market
14.0%
Draw
14.3%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
3.15
Needham Market
vs
1.42
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS72.5%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.583.5%
Over 3.567.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
4-1
6.0%
3-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
1-1
4.5%
4-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).