Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.7%
Exeter
8.2%
Draw
80.1%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
3.16
Exeter
vs
6.38
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS95.6%
Over 0.5100.0%
Over 1.599.9%
Over 2.599.6%
Over 3.598.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-5
3.5%
2-5
3.4%
4-5
2.8%
3-4
2.8%
2-4
2.6%
4-4
2.2%
1-5
2.1%
5-5
1.8%
3-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-3
1.7%
5-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).