Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
RB Leipzig
22.9%
Draw
21.2%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
RB Leipzig
vs
1.18
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).