Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Atalanta
27.5%
Draw
20.9%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Atalanta
vs
0.75
Lazio
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).