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HHT: 11CSV

10 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.4%
Annecy
23.5%
Draw
16.2%
Valenciennes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Annecy

vs
0.65

Valenciennes

Markets

BTTS36.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.1%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).