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13 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.6%
Bury
28.1%
Draw
46.2%
Woodford Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Bury

vs
1.26

Woodford Town

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).