Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Gillingham
27.6%
Draw
37.1%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Gillingham
vs
1.15
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).