Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Alloa
30.6%
Draw
31.4%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Alloa
vs
1.05
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).