Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Girona
28.3%
Draw
24.0%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Girona
vs
0.88
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).