Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.6%
Granada
23.2%
Draw
17.2%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Granada
vs
0.81
Eldense
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).