Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Manchester City
18.0%
Draw
5.7%
Atherton Laburnum Rovers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Manchester City
vs
0.33
Atherton Laburnum Rovers
Markets
BTTS23.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.5%
2-0
19.4%
3-0
12.4%
0-0
10.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
5-0
2.3%
4-1
2.0%
1-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).