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25 Oct 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Eastleigh
25.7%
Draw
42.6%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Eastleigh

vs
1.66

Torquay

Markets

BTTS62.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).