Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Arouca
22.0%
Draw
15.4%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Arouca
vs
0.92
Boavista
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).