Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Crawley Town
18.5%
Draw
20.7%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Crawley Town
vs
1.34
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
0-1
3.5%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).