Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Venezia
18.7%
Draw
9.2%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Venezia
vs
0.71
Spal
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
10.6%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
0-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).