Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Boreham Wood
21.4%
Draw
59.8%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Boreham Wood
vs
2.21
Notts County
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
1-4
3.9%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).