Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Cremonese
22.5%
Draw
15.7%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Cremonese
vs
0.94
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).