Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.0%
Napoli
14.5%
Draw
8.5%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Napoli
vs
0.73
Benevento
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
3-0
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
3.6%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).