Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Bastia
28.4%
Draw
31.4%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Bastia
vs
0.92
Amiens
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).