Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Lens
18.7%
Draw
13.7%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Lens
vs
0.79
Brest
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).