Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.3%
AVS
10.7%
Draw
86.1%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
AVS
vs
2.90
Benfica
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.5%
0-3
14.0%
0-4
10.2%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
1-3
6.5%
0-5
5.9%
1-1
5.0%
1-4
4.7%
0-0
3.8%
1-5
2.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).