⚽ FootballData
0 – 3
AHT: 01CSV

07 Aug 2021 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
7.6%
Beerschot VA
19.5%
Draw
72.9%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.50

Beerschot VA

vs
2.01

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS34.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
16.5%
0-1
15.9%
0-3
11.0%
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
0-5
2.2%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).