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AHT: 12CSV

28 Jan 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
27.1%
Draw
43.6%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Erzgebirge Aue

vs
1.57

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).