Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Colchester
24.3%
Draw
49.6%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Colchester
vs
1.56
Stockport
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).