Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Hartlepool
25.4%
Draw
47.2%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Hartlepool
vs
1.44
Colchester
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).