Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.1%
Sevilla
23.2%
Draw
48.7%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Sevilla
vs
1.87
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.2%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).