Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Sochi
26.1%
Draw
46.9%
Akhmat Grozny
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Sochi
vs
1.74
Akhmat Grozny
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).