Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Monza
28.0%
Draw
40.8%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Monza
vs
1.23
Empoli
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).