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23 Nov 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Standard
31.8%
Draw
32.7%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Standard

vs
0.97

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS40.5%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.0%
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).