Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Salernitana
31.8%
Draw
45.9%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Salernitana
vs
1.26
Pisa
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
14.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).