Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Palermo
20.5%
Draw
8.7%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Palermo
vs
0.59
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.0%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).