Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
M'gladbach
23.2%
Draw
16.7%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
M'gladbach
vs
0.92
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).