Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.7%
Ath Bilbao
24.8%
Draw
54.6%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.70
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).