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21 Mar 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.0%
Tenerife
26.1%
Draw
44.9%
Almeria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Tenerife

vs
1.43

Almeria

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).