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DHT: 00CSV

13 May 2023 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.0%
Vizela
24.4%
Draw
51.6%
Famalicao

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Vizela

vs
1.56

Famalicao

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).