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17 May 2026 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.4%
Mjällby
20.3%
Draw
7.3%
Häcken

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Mjällby

vs
0.51

Häcken

Markets

BTTS35.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.3%
1-0
15.2%
3-0
11.0%
1-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
0-1
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.2%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).