Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Montpellier
23.6%
Draw
47.7%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Montpellier
vs
1.58
Metz
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).