Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.6%
Southampton
24.6%
Draw
63.9%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Southampton
vs
1.83
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.7%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
4.1%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).