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DHT: 11CSV

04 Sept 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Brest
25.9%
Draw
39.6%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Brest

vs
1.33

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).