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AHT: 00CSV

27 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.9%
Kidderminster
31.9%
Draw
48.2%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Kidderminster

vs
1.24

Bromley

Markets

BTTS36.8%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.8%
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).