Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.9%
Alaves
23.4%
Draw
10.7%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Alaves
vs
0.49
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS30.9%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
2-0
16.0%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).