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20 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.3%
Leyton Orient
21.4%
Draw
24.3%
Fleetwood Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Leyton Orient

vs
1.10

Fleetwood Town

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).